Showing posts with label Complimentary and alternative medicine. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Complimentary and alternative medicine. Show all posts

Friday, December 13, 2024

Electromagnetic Hypersensitivity

What is electromagnetic hypersensitivity? It’s an alleged condition in which a person is especially sensitive to weak radiofrequency electromagnetic fields, such as those emitted by a cell phone or other wireless technology. All sorts of symptoms are claimed to be associated with electromagnetic hypersensitivity, such as headaches, fatigue, anxiety, and sleep disturbances. An example of a person who says he has electromagnetic hypersensitivity is Arthur Firstenberg, author of The Invisible Rainbow, a book about his trials and tribulations. Many people purportedly suffering from electromagnetic hypersensitivity flock to Green Bank, West Virginia, because a radiotelescope there requires that the surrounding area being a “radio quiet zone.”

Is electromagnetic hypersensitivity real? Answering this question should be easy. Take people who claim such hypersensitivity, sit them down in a lab, turn a radiofrequency device on (or just pretend to), and ask them if they can sense it. Ask them about their symptoms. Of course, you must do this carefully, avoiding any subtle cues that might signal if the radiation is present. (For a cautionary tale about why such care is important, read this post.) You should do the study double blind (neither the patient nor the doctor who asks the questions should be told if the radiation is or is not on) and compare the patients to control subjects.

The first page of the article "The effects of radiofrequency electromagnetic fields exposure on human self-reported symptoms" superimposed on the cover of Intermediate Physics for Medicine and Biology.
The effects of
radiofrequency
electromagnetic fields
exposure on human
self-reported symptoms.
Many such experiments have been done, and recently a systematic review of the results was published.
Xavier Bosch-Caplanch, Ekpereonne Esu, Chioma Moses Oringanje, Stefan Dongus, Hamed Jalilian, John Eyers, Christian Auer, Martin Meremikwu, and Martin Röösli (2024) The effects of radiofrequency electromagnetic fields exposure on human self-reported symptoms: A systematic review of human experimental studies. Environment International, Volume 187, Article number 108612.
This review is part of an ongoing project by the World Health Organization to assess potential health effects from exposure to radiofrequency electromagnetic fields. The authors come from a variety of countries, but several work at the respected Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute. I’m particularly familiar with the fine research of Martin Röösli, a renowned leader in this field.

The authors surveyed all publications on this topic and established stringent eligibility criteria so only the highest quality papers were included in their review. A total of 41 studies met the criteria. What did they find? Here’s the key conclusion from the author’s abstract.
The available evidence suggested that study volunteers could not perceive the EMF [electromagnetic field] exposure status better than what is expected by chance and that IEI-EMF [Idiopathic environmental intolerance attributed to electromagnetic fields, their fancy name for electromagnetic hypersensitivity] individuals could not determine EMF conditions better than the general population.
The patients couldn’t determine if the fields were on or off better than chance. In other words, they were right about the field being on or off about as often as if they had decided the question by flipping a coin. The authors added
Available evidence suggests that [an] acute RF-EMF [radiofrequency electromagnetic field] below regulatory limits does not cause symptoms and corresponding claims in... everyday life are related to perceived and not to real EMF exposure status.

Let me repeat, the claims are related “to perceived and not to real EMF exposure.” This means that electromagnetic hypersensitivity is not caused by an electromagnetic field being present, but is caused by thinking that an electromagnetic field is present.

Yes, there are some limitations to this study, which are discussed and analyzed by the authors. The experimental conditions might differ from real-life exposures in the duration, frequency, and location of the field source. Most of the subjects were young, healthy volunteers, so the authors could not make conclusions about the elderly or chronically ill. The authors could not rule out the possibility that a few super-sensitive people are mixed in with a vast majority who can’t sense the fields (although they do offer some evidence suggesting that this is not the case).

Are Electromagnetic Fields Making Me Ill? superimposed on Intermediate Physics for Medicine and Biology.
Are Electromagnetic Fields
Making Me Ill?

Their results do not prove that a condition like electromagnetic hypersensitivity is impossible. Impossibility proofs are always difficult in science, and especially in medicine and biology. But the evidence suggests that the patients’ symptoms are related “to perceived and not to real EMF exposure.” While I don’t doubt that these patients are suffering, I’m skeptical that their distress is caused by electromagnetic fields. 

To learn more about potential health effects of electromagnetic fields, I refer you to Intermediate Physics for Medicine and Biology (especially Chapter 9) or Are Electromagnetic Fields Making Me Ill?

Martin Röösli - Electromagnetic Hypersensitivity and Vulnerable Populations

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UPXY0WQJ37Q


Is Electromagnetic Hypersensitivity Real?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IrkL1Hm5myE

Friday, June 14, 2024

Bernard Leonard Cohen (1924–2012)

The Nuclear Energy Option: An Alternative for the 90s. by Bernard Cohen, superimposed on Intermediate Physics for Medicine and Biology.
The Nuclear Energy Option: An Alternative for the 90s.
by Bernard Cohen.
Today is the one hundredth anniversary of the birth of American nuclear physicist Bernard Cohen. In Intermediate Physics for Medicine and Biology, Russ Hobbie and I discuss Cohen mainly in the context of his work on the risk of low levels of ionizing radiation and his opposition to the linear no threshold model. Today, I will examine another aspect of his work: his advocacy for nuclear power. In particular, I will review his 1990 book The Nuclear Energy Option: An Alternative for the 90s.

Why read a 35-year old book about a rapidly changing technology like energy? I admit, the book is in some ways obsolete. Cohen insists on using rems as his unit of radiation effective dose, rather than the more modern Sievert (Sv). He discusses the problem of greenhouse gases and global warming, although in a rather hypothetical way as just one of the many problems with burning fossil fuels. He was optimistic about the future of nuclear energy, but we know now that in the decades following the book’s publication nuclear power in the United States did not do well (the average age of our nuclear power plants is over 40 years). Yet other features of the book have withstood the test of time. As our world now faces the dire consequences of climate change, the option of nuclear energy is an urgent consideration. Should we reconsider nuclear power as an alternative to coal/oil/natural gas? I suspect Cohen would say yes.

In Chapter 4 of The Nuclear Energy Option Cohen writes
We have seen that we will need more power plants in the near future, and that fueling them with coal, oil, or gas leads to many serious health, environmental, economic, and political problems. From the technological points of view, the obvious way to avoid these problems is to use nuclear fuels. They cause no greenhouse effect, no acid rain, no pollution of the air with sulfur dioxide, nitrogen oxides, or other dangerous chemicals, no oil spills, no strain on our economy from excessive imports, no dependence on unreliable foreign sources, no risk of military ventures. Nuclear power almost completely avoids all the problems associated with fossil fuels. It does have other impacts on our health and environment, which we will discuss in later chapters, but you will see that they are relatively minor.
He then compares the safety and economics of nuclear energy with other options, including solar and coal-powered plants for generating electricity. Some of the conclusions are surprising. For instance, you might think that energy conservation is always good (who roots for waste?). But Cohen writes
Another energy conservation strategy is to seal buildings more tightly to reduce the escape of heat, but this traps unhealthy materials like radon inside. Tightening buildings to reduce air leakage in accordance with government recommendations would give the average American an LLE [loss of life expectancy] of 20 days due to increased radon exposure, making conservation by far the most dangerous energy strategy from the standpoint of radiation exposure!
His Chapter 8 on Understanding Risk is a classic. He begins
One of the worst stumbling blocks in gaining widespread public acceptance of nuclear power is that the great majority of people do not understand and quantify the risks we face. Most of us think and act as though life is largely free of risk. We view taking risks as foolhardy, irrational, and assiduously to be avoided….

Unfortunately, life is not like that. Everything we do involves risk.

He then makes a catalog of risks, in which he converts risk to the average expected loss of life expectancy for each case. This LLE is really just a measure of probability. For instance, if getting a certain disease shortens your life by ten years, but there is only one chance out of a hundred of contracting that disease, it would correspond to an LLE of 0.1 years, or 36 days. In his catalog, the riskiest activity is living in poverty, which has an LLE of 3500 days (almost ten years). Smoking cigarettes results in an LLE of 2300 days. Being 30 pounds overweight is 900 days. Reducing the speed limit on our highways from 65 to 55 miles per hour would reduce traffic accidents and give us an extra 40 days. At the bottom of his list is living near a nuclear reactor, with a risk of only 0.4 days (less than ten hours). He makes a compelling case that nuclear power is extraordinarily safe.

Cohen summarizes these risks in a classic figure, shown below.

Figure 1 from Chapter 8 of The Nuclear Energy Option, superimposed on Intermediate Physics for Medicine and Biology.
Figure 1 from Chapter 8 of The Nuclear Energy Option.

Our poor risk perception causes us (and our government) to spend money foolishly. He translates societies efforts to reduce risk into the cost in dollars to save one life.

The $2.5 billion we spend to save a single life in making nuclear power safer could save many thousands of lives if spent on radon programs, cancer screening, or transportation safety. This means that many thousands of people are dying unnecessarily every year because we are spending this money in the wrong way.
He concludes
The failure of the American public to understand and quantify risk must rate as one of the most serious and tragic problems for our nation.
I agree.

Cohen believes that Americans have a warped view of the risk of nuclear energy.

The public has become irrational over fear of radiation. Its understanding of radiation dangers has virtually lost all contact with the actual dangers as understood by scientists.
Apparently conspiracy theories are a problem we face not only today but also decades ago, when the scientific establishment was accused of hiding the “truth” about radiation risks. Cohen counters
To believe that such highly reputable scientists conspired to practice deceit seems absurd, if for no other reason than that it would be easy to prove that they had done so and the consequences to their scientific careers would be devastating. All of them had such reputations that they could easily obtain a variety of excellent and well-paying academic positions independent of government or industry financing, so they were to vulnerable to economic pressures.

But above all, they are human beings who have chosen careers in a field dedicated to protection of the health of their fellow human beings; in fact, many of them are M.D.’s who have foregone financially lucrative careers in medical practice to become research scientists. To believe that nearly all of these scientists were somehow involved in a sinister plot to deceive the public indeed challenges the imagination.
To me, these words sound as if Cohen were talking now about vaccine hesitancy or climate change denial, rather than opposition to nuclear energy. 

What do I think? I would love to have solar and wind supply all our energy needs. But until they can, I vote for increasing our use of nuclear energy over continuing to burn fossil fuels (especially coal). Global warming is already bad and getting worse. It is a dire threat to us all and to our future generations. We should not rule out nuclear energy as one way to address climate change.

Happy birthday, Bernard Cohen! I think if you had lived to be 100 years old, you would have found so many topics to write about today. How we need your rational approach to risk assessment. 

 Firing Line with William F. Buckley Jr.: The Crisis of Nuclear Energy.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ipOrGaXn-r4&list=RDCMUC9lqW3pQDcUuugXLIpzcUdA&start_radio=1&rv=ipOrGaXn-r4&t=52

Friday, April 26, 2024

Thinking is Power

Are Electromagnetic Fields
Making me Ill?

by Brad Roth.

Recently I stumbled on a YouTube video about critical thinking in education, featuring Melanie Trecek-King (of the website “Thinking is Power”), Bertha Vazquez (with the Center for Inquiry) and Daniel Reed (the West Virginia Skeptics Society). I wasn’t expecting much, but as I listened I became enthralled. I highly recommend you spend some time exploring Thinking is Power, and perhaps follow it on Facebook. Trecek-King’s mantra is “Teach Skills Not Facts,” and she is trying to teach the skills of critical thinking. As I listened, I began to ask myself if I am doing all I can to teach critical thinking? In particular, are critical thinking skills emphasized in Intermediate Physics for Medicine and Biology, and in my popular science book Are Electromagnetic Fields Making Me Ill? I decided to use Are Electromagnetic Fields Making Me Ill? as a test case.

One of the key ideas in my book is the clinical trial. Critical thinking lies at the heart of such trials. In the chapter about the health effects of magnets, I discuss the importance of clinical trials being double blind, randomized, and placebo controlled. Why are these features crucial? They keep you from fooling yourself. In particular, a study being double blind (meaning that “not only the patient, but also the physician, does not know who is in the placebo or treatment group”) is vital to prevent a doctor from inadvertently signalling to the patient which group they are in. One of Trecek-King’s favorite sayings is the quote by Richard Feynman that “you must not fool yourself—and you are the easiest person to fool.” That sums up why double blinding is so important.

Placebos are discussed several times in my book. My favorite example of a placebo comes from a clinical trial to evaluate a new drug. “If a medication is being tested, the placebo is a sugar pill with the same size, shape, color, and taste as that of the drug.” One reason I dwell on placebos is that sometimes they are difficult to design. When testing if permanent magnets can reduce pain, “this means that some patients received treatment with real magnets, and others were treated with objects that resembled magnets but produced a much weaker magnetic field or no magnetic field at all.” It is hard to make a “fake magnet” or a “mock transcranial direct current stimulator.” Yet, designing the placebo is exactly a situation where critical thinking skills are essential.

Critical thinking overlaps with the scientific method, with its emphasis on examining the evidence. In Are Electromagnetic Fields Making Me Ill?, my goal was to present the evidence and then let the reader decide what to believe. But that’s hard. For instance, the experimental laboratory studies about the biological effects of cell phone radiation are a mixed bag. Some studies see effects, and some don’t. You can argue either way depending on what studies you emphasize. I tried to rely on critical reviews to sort all this out (after all, where better to find critical thinking than in a critical review). But even the critical reviews are not unanimous. I probably should’ve examined each article individually and weighed its pros and cons, but that would have taken years (the literature on this topic is vast).

Trecek-King often discusses the importance of finding reliable sources of information. I agree, but this too is not always easy. For instance, what could be more authoritative than a report produced by the National Academy of Sciences? In Are Electromagnetic Fields Making Me Ill? I laud the Stevens report published in the 1990s about the health hazards (or should I say lack of hazards) from powerline magnetic fields. Yet, I’m skeptical about the National Academies report published in 2020 regarding microwave weapons being responsible for the Havana Syndrome. What do I conclude? Sometimes deferring to authority is useful, but not always. You can’t delegate critical thinking.

I have found that one useful tool for teaching and illustrating critical thinking are the Point/Counterpoint articles published in the journal Medical Physics. In Are Electromagnetic Fields Making Me Ill? I cite three such articles, on magnets reducing pain, on cell phone radiation causing cancer, and on the safety of airport backscatter radiation scanners. Each of these articles are in the form of a debate, and any lack of critical thinking will be exposed and debunked in the rebuttals. I wrote

When I taught medical physics to college students, we spent 20 minutes each Friday afternoon discussing a point/counterpoint article. One feature of these articles that makes them such an outstanding teaching tool is that there exists no right answer, only weak or strong arguments. Science does not proceed by proclaiming universal truths, but by accumulating evidence that allows us to be more or less confident in our hypotheses. Conclusions beginning with “the evidence suggests…” are the best science has to offer.
One skill I emphasized in my teaching using IPMB, but which I don’t see mentioned by Trecek-King, is estimation. For instance, when discussing the potential health benefits or hazards of static magnetic fields, I calculated the energy of an electron in a magnetic field and compared it to its thermal energy. Such a simple order-of-magnitude estimate shows that thermal energy is vastly greater than magnetic energy, implying that static magnetic fields should have no effect on chemical reactions. Similarly, in my chapter about powerline magnetic fields, I estimated the electric field induced in the body by a 60 Hz magnetic field and compare it to endogenous electric fields due mainly to the heart’s electrical activity. Finally, in my discussion about cell phone radiation I compared the energy of a single radio-frequency photon to the energy of a chemical bond to prove that cell phones cannot cause cancer by directly disrupting DNA. This ability to estimate is crucial, and I believe it should be included under the umbrella of critical thinking skills.

In the video I watched, Trecek-King discussed the idea of consensus, and the different use of this term among scientists and nonscientists. When I analyzed transcranial direct current stimulation, I bemoaned the difficulty in finding a consensus among different research groups.
Finding the truth does not come from a eureka moment, but instead from a slow slog ultimately leading to a consensus among scientists.
I probably get closest to what scientists mean by consensus at the close of my chapter on the relationship (actually, the lack of relationship) between 5G cell phone radiation and COVID-19:
Scientific consensus arises when a diverse group of scientists openly scrutinizes claims and critically evaluates evidence.
Consensus is only valuable if it arises from individuals independently examining a body of evidence, debating an issue with others, and coming to their own conclusion. Peer review, so important in science, is one way scientists thrash out a consensus. I wrote
The reason for peer review is to force scientists to convince other scientists that their ideas and data are sound.
Perhaps the biggest issue in critical thinking is bias. One difficulty is that bias comes in many forms. One example is publication bias: “the tendency for only positive results to be published.” Another is recall bias that can infect a case-control epidemiological study. But the really thorny type of bias arises from prior beliefs that scientists may be reluctant to abandon. In Are Electromagnetic Fields Making Me Ill? I tell the story of how Robert Tucker and Otto Schmidt performed an experiment to determine if people could detect 60 Hz magnetic fields. They spent five years examining their experiment for possible systematic errors, and eventually concluded that 60 Hz fields are not detectable. I wrote “One reason the bioelectric literature is filled with inconsistent results may be that not all experimenters are as diligent as Robert Tucker and Otto Schmitt.”

After listening to Trecek-King’s video, I began to wonder if the Tucker and Schmidt experiment might alternatively be viewed be a cautionary tale about bias. Was their long effort a heroic example of detecting and eliminating systematic error, or was it a bias marathon where they slaved away until they finally came to the conclusion they wanted? I side with the heroic interpretation, but it does make me wonder about the connection between bias and experimental design. The hallmark of a good experimental scientist is the ability to identify and remove systematic errors from an experiment. Yet one must be careful to root out all systematic errors, not just those that affect the results in one direction. The conclusion: science is difficult, and you must be constantly on guard about fooling yourself.

I reexamined Are Electromagnetic Fields Making Me Ill? to search for signs of my own biases, and came away a little worried. For instance, when talking about 5G cell phone radiation risks, I wrote
The 5G cell phone debate strikes me as déjà vu. First Mesmer’s “animal magnetism” treatments ascended in popularity and then declined. Next the use of magnets for therapy rose and fell. Then came the power line debate; a crescendo followed by a diminuendo. Later the dispute over traditional cell phones came and went. Now, we are doing it all over again for 5G.

After listening to Trecek-King’s video, I am nervous that this was an inadvertent confession of bias. Do my past experiences predispose me to reject claims about electromagnetic fields being dangerous? Or am I merely stating a hard-earned opinion based on experience? Or are those the same thing? Is it bias to believe that Lucy will pull that football away from Charlie Brown at the last second?

I tried to focus my book on the evidence and not on personal opinions, but can we ever be sure? If I was a proponent of the idea that cell phones cause cancer, I might point to the above déjà vu quote as evidence that the author of Are Electromagnetic Fields Making Me Ill? was biased. Yet, if you asked me now if I still believed what I wrote in that quote, I would say “you betcha I do.” Does my statement have relevance to the 5G cell phone debate? I think it does, although it’s no substitute for hard evidence. Can we ever truly free ourselves from our biases? Perhaps not, but at least we can be aware of them, so as to be on guard.

All this discussion about critical thinking and bias is related to the claims of pseudoscience and alternative medicine. At the end of Are Electromagnetic Fields Making Me Ill? I ponder the difficulty of debunking false claims.

The study of biological effects of weak electric and magnetic fields attracts pseudoscientists and cranks. Sometimes I have a difficult time separating the charlatans from the mavericks. The mavericks—those holding nonconformist views based on evidence (sometimes a cherry-picked selection of the evidence)—can be useful to science, even if they are wrong. The charlatans—those snake-oil salesmen out to make a quick buck—either fool themselves or fool others into believing silly ideas or conspiracy theories. We should treat the mavericks with respect and let peer review correct their errors. We should treat the charlatans with disdain. I wish for the wisdom to tell them apart.
I’ll give Trecek-King’s the last word. Another of her mantras, which to me sums up why we care about critical thinking, is:
I am not saying that all of our problems can be solved with critical thinking. I’m saying that it is our best chance.

Critical Thinking in Education, featuring Melanie Trecek-King, Bertha Vazquez, and Daniel Reed

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QkPtC3gn6JE


Lucy, Charlie Brown, and the football.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mC5MzvgE4c0


And another.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ddmXM-96-no


 A Life Preserver for Staying Afloat in a Sea of Misinformation.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JkGsxtbetts

Friday, April 12, 2024

Authors at Oakland: A Celebration of the Book


Are Electromagnetic Fields Making Me Ill?,
by Brad Roth
Every year the Kresge Library at Oakland University hosts an event called “Authors at Oakland” where they honor publications by Oakland University faculty. This year was “a celebration of the book.” Intermediate Physics for Medicine and Biology was featured at a previous Authors at Oakland event, and this year I submitted Are Electromagnetic Fields Making Me Ill? Two authors were selected to give a short talk about their book, and I was one of them. So on Wednesday, March 20 I spoke to an audience of OU librarians, members of the faculty senate library committee, and other interested professors and students.

The talk was not recorded but below is a transcript, as best as I can remember it.
Thank you for selecting my book Are Electromagnetic Fields Making Me Ill? to be featured here at Authors at Oakland. My friend David Garfinkle once told me that any time a book has a title in the form of a question, the answer’s always “no.” That’s true for my book, and sums it up in a nutshell.

How did I come to write this book? In November of 2019, just before Covid arrived, I was asked to participate in a town hall meeting in Rochester, Michigan about the then-new 5G cell phones. I was to be the health effects expert. I thought I was going to give a short talk to a quiet and respectful audience. Little did I know what was in store. [At this point I showed about the first one and a half minutes of the video below.]


I discussed the hazards of 5G cell phone radiation at a town hall meeting in Rochester, Michigan in 2019. The audience was not convinced by my claim that the risks are small. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=smQ0Nnz7lLk
This experience got me to wondering why people believe things that aren’t supported by the evidence and what could I do about it? In response to the second question, I wrote this book.

The book covers several topics, but today I’ll focus on the issue that started it all: cell phones and cancer.

Not everyone agrees with me that 5G cell phone radiation is harmless. Devra Davis has written a book titled Disconnect, in which she claims to tell “the TRUTH about cell phone RADIATION, what the INDUSTRY has done to HIDE it, and how to PROTECT your FAMILY.” I disagree with her conclusions, but the issue shouldn’t be viewed as my word against hers. Let’s look at the evidence. That’s how science works.

The electromagnetic spectrum.
(From: https://www.niehs.nih.gov/health/topics/agents/
emf/index.cfm
)
To start we need to discuss a little physics. Electromagnetic waves come in many frequencies, from extremely low frequencies like those produced by 60 Hz power lines, to intermediate frequencies such as from cell phones, to very high frequencies such as x-rays.
Quantum mechanics tells us that electromagnetic radiation is not continuous but comes in lumps called photons. The energy of a photon is proportional to its frequency. Very high frequency photons like for x-rays have enough energy that they can disrupt DNA, causing mutations leading to cancer. However, cell phones operate at a much lower frequency, on the order of a gigahertz (one billion oscillations per second), in the realm of microwaves. These photons have an energy of about 0.000004 eV (an eV or “electron volt” is a unit of energy appropriate when discussing single atoms or molecules). What should we compare that energy to? All molecules are bouncing around randomly, called thermal motion. The thermal energy at our body temperature is about 0.02 eV. A cell phone photon would be swamped by the thermal noise. Chemical bonds have strengths of several electron volts. A cell phone photon is far too weak to break bonds, so they can’t directly disrupt DNA and cause cancer like x-ray photons can. If they have any effect it must be an indirect one, such as affecting our immune system or suppressing our body’s ability to repair DNA damage.

A microwave oven.
(Consumer Reports, CC BY-SA 4.0,
https://creativecommons.org/
licenses/by-sa/4.0, via Wikimedia Commons)
Even though one photon can’t damage our tissue, you might be wondering what would happen if we deposited many, many photons into our body? Physicists have a word for that: “heat.” We know microwaves can heat tissue. You prove that every time you warm up your leftovers in your microwave oven. However, physicists understand how microwaves heat tissue very well, and can predict how hot tissue will get when exposed to microwaves. Cell phones don’t emit enough microwave radiation to significantly heat tissue. The Federal Communications Commission limits the amount of radiation a cell phone can emit to levels that don’t cause significant heating. Your cell phone doesn’t cook your brain. If microwave radiation represents a hazard to our tissue, it’s not only through an indirect effect but also a nonthermal effect.

Let’s now look at four types of evidence about the risk of cell phone radiation: 1) theoretical analysis, 2) cancer rates, 3) epidemiological evidence, and 4) laboratory experiments.

Asher Sheppard and his colleagues have analyzed every theoretical mechanism they could think of to determine if microwaves have a significant affect on our tissue. After an exhaustive search, they concluded that
In the frequency range from several megahertz to a few hundred gigahertz, the focus of this paper, the principal mechanism for biological effects, and the only well-established mechanism, is the heating of tissues.
I can imagine that you’re thinking “well, maybe those armchair theorists just weren’t smart enough to dream up the correct mechanism.” Perhaps, but the point I want to make is that the concern about cell phone radiation isn’t being driven by a theoretical prediction. Theory does not predict there should be an effect.
Cell phone use and brain cancer trends between 1976 and 2006.
(Data from Inskip et al.)
Now look at this plot of brain cancer trends. Back in the 1980s, when I was a graduate student, no one had cell phones. The use of cell phones has exploded since then. The data shown only goes out to about 2010, but if you extend the data to today essentially everyone has a cell phone. However, the cancer rate has been flat over those decades. And the brain cancer rate, in particular, has been nearly flat. If cell phones are causing brain cancer, it’s not a strong enough signal to show up in the cancer rate data.

Epidemiology studies examine large groups of people, some exposed to a hazard and some not, to compare their health. One of the first epidemiological studies is called the INTERPHONE study, and it did suggest a weak association of heavy cell phone use with cancer. INTERPHONE was a case control study; the researchers interviewed many people with brain cancer to determine their prior cell phone use, and compared these people to a control group without cancer. These studies are useful for getting data on rare hazards quickly, but they’re susceptible to biases, such as “recall bias” where a person with cancer who used their cell phone a lot will remember that clearly and perhaps regretfully while a member of the control group might not remember whether or not they even used a cell phone at all. A cohort study is a better type of epidemiological analysis. A large number of people, some cell phone users and some not, are followed for many years to see who gets cancer. Two large cohort studies—the Million Women Study in Europe and another study that involved essentially the entire population of Denmark—didn’t indicate a signal for an increased rate of cancer caused by cell phone use. A meta-analysis of many epidemiological studies by Martin Röösli and his coworkers concluded that
Epidemiological studies do not suggest increased brain or salivary gland tumor risk with [mobile phone] use, although some uncertainty remains regarding long latency periods (>15 years), rare brain tumor subtypes, and [mobile phone] usage during childhood.
Another large cohort study, called COSMOS, is now being carried out in Europe. When I was preparing this Powerpoint presentation, I thought I’d have to tell you that we’ll need to wait a few years until the results are published. Then, just this week, a preliminary report found that there’s no evidence that cell phone use is associated with higher rates of brain cancer. Some people might claim that there’s a long latency period between the exposure to cell phone radiation and the occurrence of cancer, and that a large uptick in the cancer rate will happen soon. Maybe, but as each year goes by that scenario becomes less and less likely.

The final type of evidence is laboratory experiments, such as studies using rats, mice, or cells in a dish. The evidence here is mixed; many experiments see effects and many do not. In fact, you could make a compelling case for or against cell phone health effects, depending on which articles you read. Unfortunately, the quality of these studies is also mixed.

Often scientists sometimes conduct a systematic review, weighing the pros and cons of the many experiments. For example, Anne Perrin and her collaborators reviewed the effects of radiofrequency electromagnetic fields on the blood brain barrier, and found that
recent studies provide no convincing proof of deleterious effects of [radiofrequency radiation] on the integrity of the [blood brain barrier].
But other systematic reviews have come to different conclusions, and I fear it’s difficult to draw definite conclusions from the experimental investigations.

Federal agencies—such as the Food and Drug Administration, the Center for Disease Control, and the National Cancer Institute (part of the National Institutes of Health)—often conduct their own reviews of the evidence. My favorite is the National Cancer Institute, which was the agency that got the round of boos during that 5G town hall meeting I participated in. These aren’t bureaucrats conducting the review, but instead are our nation’s top cancer scientists. They concluded that
The human body does absorb energy from devices that emit radiofrequency radiation. The only consistently recognized biological effect of radiofrequency radiation absorption in humans that the general public might encounter is heating to the area of the body where a cell phone is held (e.g., the ear and head). However, that heating is not sufficient to measurably increase core body temperature. There are no other clearly established dangerous health effects on the human body from radiofrequency radiation.
So, the evidence from theoretical analysis, cancer trends, epidemiology, and experiments makes a strong case that there are no health risks from cell phone radiation. Impossibility proofs are difficult in biology and medicine, but to me the evidence is compelling that the electromagnetic waves emitted by cell phones are safe.

A final question is if we should believe the scientists. Should we trust the National Cancer Institute to provide a unbiased review, or are they trying to hide hazardous effects. I believe a conspiracy secretly carried out by hundreds if not thousands of scientists and medical doctors is absurd. In my book I wrote
Dangers arising from cell phone radiation strike me as unlikely, but not inconceivable. However, the claims that there exists a vast plot, with scientists colluding to conceal the facts, are ridiculous.
My book covers other topics besides just cell phone radiation. There’s a chapter on power line electric and magnetic fields causing leukemia, another on the Havana Syndrome, and others. My conclusion is that all these potential affects of electromagnetic fields are overblown.

Finally, in the acknowledgments section of my book I thank the Kresge Library for “assisting me with obtaining books and articles related to this research.” In particular, the interlibrary loan office here at Kresge Library has been essential to my research. I worked them pretty hard. You can’t write a book like this without a good interlibrary loan department.

Thank you. Does anyone have questions?

I must admit the biggest applause arose from my comment about the interlibrary loan office, but then the crowd was largely librarians. Overall Authors at Oakland was a wonderful event, and I deeply appreciate being invited to speak at it.

Friday, April 5, 2024

Oh, Myyy!

Recently I was reading an article by Ramsay Lewis and Yuhong Dong in The Epoch Times titled Invisible Electromagnetic Fields: Do They Harm Your Health? My friend and colleague David Garfinkle once told me that whenever you see a book or article whose title is in the form of a question, the answer is always “no.” I assumed that would be the case for this article, and I began reading.

The article describes how citizens of Virginia Beach opposed an offshore renewable energy project, justifying their opposition in part because of possible health hazards from electric and magnetic fields produced by transmission cables.

The article started off well and discussed many of the issues described in Chapter 9 of Intermediate Physics for Medicine and Biology and in my book Are Electromagnetic Fields Making Me Ill? (which, by the way, does follow Garfinkle’s rule of the title question having “no” for an answer). Then, suddenly, Lewis and Dong took a bizarre turn. They wrote
In repeated experiments, Nobel Prize laureate Professor Luc Montagnier amazingly demonstrated that a low intensity electromagnetic field (EMF) of 7 HZ (similar to Schumann resonances), could produce DNA in a tube of pure water, simply by being adjacent to another tube containing DNA. In other words, he created something—DNA—out of nothing, simply by being close to DNA and adding low frequency EMFs.
Wait... What?! This sounded serious enough that I decided to look into it. After all, the idea was championed by one of the discovers of HIV, the virus responsible for AIDS.

Luc Montagnier in 2008
Prolineserver, GFDL 1.2, via Wikimedia Commons
I found a paper published by Montagnier and his coworkers (Montagnier et al., 2009, “Electromagnetic signals are produced by aqueous nanostructures derived from bacterial DNA sequences,” Interdisciplinary Sciences: Computational Life Sciences, Volume 1, Pages 81–90). Below I reproduce their abstract.
A novel property of DNA is described: the capacity of some bacterial DNA sequences to induce electromagnetic waves at high aqueous dilutions. It appears to be a resonance phenomenon triggered by the ambient electromagnetic background of very low frequency waves. The genomic DNA of most pathogenic bacteria contains sequences which are able to generate such signals. This opens the way to the development of highly sensitive detection system for chronic bacterial infections in human and animal diseases.
The key phrase in the abstract is “at high aqueous dilutions.” The authors repeatedly made 10:1 dilutions of the DNA solution. After 18 dilutions, the concentration of DNA should be 0.000000000000000001 times what it was originally. The purported electromagnetic wave effect persisted, even though there was no DNA left in the sample. The water “remembered” the DNA. It’s homeopathy all over again.

Oh, Myyy! This is the worst sort of pseudoscience.

A 2010 interview in Science politely hinted that this idea is absurd.
Virologist and Nobel laureate Luc Montagnier announced earlier this month that, at age 78, he will take on the leadership of a new research institute at Jiaotong University in Shanghai. What has shocked many scientists, however, isn’t Montagnier’s departure from France but what he plans to study in China: electromagnetic waves that Montagnier says emanate from the highly diluted DNA of various pathogens…

But Montagnier’s new direction evokes one of the most notorious affairs in French science: the “water memory” study by immunologist Jacques Benveniste. Benveniste, who died in 2004, claimed in a 1988 Nature paper that IgE antibodies have an effect on a certain cell type even after being diluted by a factor of 10120. His claim was interpreted by many as evidence for homeopathy, which uses extreme dilutions that most scientists say can’t possibly have a biological effect. After a weeklong investigation at Benveniste’s lab, Nature called the paper a “delusion.”

Here’s part of the interview with Montagnier.

Q: You have called Benveniste a modern Galileo. Why? 

L.M.: Benveniste was rejected by everybody, because he was too far ahead. He lost everything, his lab, his money. … I think he was mostly right, but the problem was that his results weren’t 100% reproducible. 

Q: Do you think there’s something to homeopathy as well? 

L.M.: I can’t say that homeopathy is right in everything. What I can say now is that the high dilutions are right. High dilutions of something are not nothing. They are water structures which mimic the original molecules. We find that with DNA, we cannot work at the extremely high dilutions used in homeopathy; we cannot go further than a 10−18 dilution, or we lose the signal. But even at 10−18, you can calculate that there is not a single molecule of DNA left. And yet we detect a signal.

Why should we care about all this silliness? Wouldn’t it be better to just ignore it? Here’s the problem: Climate change is real. There’s a consensus among scientists that it’s a serious, man-made crisis that must be addressed. One way to fight climate change it is to build alternative sources of energy, such as offshore wind farms. Yet citizens and journalists are citing ridiculous nonsense like Montagnier’s water memory hypothesis to oppose wind farms. Quackery and voodoo science are being used to impede solutions to what may be the most dire challenge mankind has ever faced.

To quote Charles Dickens, “I’ll retire to bedlam.”

Co-discoverer of HIV Luc Montagnier dies aged 89. BBC News

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Iat2FncJ1to

 

What is Homeopathy, by Science Saves.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rw766-Z97BI

 

Friday, February 9, 2024

Robert Kemp Adair (1924–2020)—Notes on a Friendship

Robert Adair.
Robert Adair.
Photo credit: Michael Marsland/Yale University.

I try to write obituaries of scientists who appear in Intermediate Physics for Medicine and Biology, but for some reason I didn’t write about Robert Adair’s death in 2020. Perhaps the covid pandemic over-shadowed his demise. In Chapter 9 of IPMB, Russ Hobbie and I cite seven of his publications. He was a leader in studying the health effects (or, lack of heath effects) from electric and magnetic fields.

Recently, I read a charming article subtitled “Notes on a Friendship” about Adair, written by Geoffrey Kabat, the author of Getting Risk Right: Understanding the Science of Elusive Health Risks. I have Getting Risk Right on my to-read list. It sounds like my kind of book.

I admire Adair’s service in an infantry rifle platoon during World War II. I loved his book about baseball. I respect his independent assessment of the seriousness of climate change, although I don’t agree with all his conclusions. He certainly was a voice of reason in the debate about health risks of electric and magnetic fields. He led a long and useful life. We need more like him.

I will give Kabat the final word, quoting the last paragraph of his article.
In early October 2020, Bob’s daughter Margaret called me to tell me that Bob had died. I looked for an obituary in the New York Times, and was shocked when none appeared, likely due to the increased deaths from the pandemic. I wrote to an epidemiologist colleague and friend, who knew Bob’s work on ELF-EMF [extremely low frequency electromagnetic fields] and microwave energy, and who had served on a committee to assess possible health effects of the Pave Paws radar array on Cape Cod. My friend Bob Tarone wrote back, “Very sad to hear that. Adair was not directly involved in the Pave Paws study, but we relied heavily on his superb published papers on the biological effects of radio-frequency energy in our report. He and his wife were superb scientists. Losing too many who don’t seem to have competent replacements. Too bad honesty and truth are in such short supply in science today.” He concurred that there should have been an obituary in the Times.

Friday, February 2, 2024

“Havana Syndrome”: A post mortem

“Havana Syndrome”: A Post Mortem, by Bartholomew and Baloh, superimposedo on Intermediate Physics for Medicine and Biology.
“Havana Syndrome”: A Post Mortem,
by Bartholomew and Baloh.
Remember the Havana Syndrome? You don’t hear much about it anymore. Recently I read an article titled “‘Havana Syndrome’: A Post Mortem,” by Robert Bartholomew and Robert Baloh. These two researchers are long-time skeptics who don’t believe that the Havana Syndrome was caused by a physical attack on US and Canadian diplomats. They are also critical of the National Academies report that suggested microwave weapons might be responsible for the Havana Syndrome. I came to a similar conclusion in my book Are Electromagnetic Fields Making Me Ill?, where I wrote
At this time, we have no conclusive explanation for the Havana syndrome. We need more evidence. Measuring intense beams of microwaves should be easy to do and would not be prohibitively expensive. Until someone observes microwaves associated with the onset of this illness, I will remain skeptical of the National Academies’conclusion.
Bartholomew and Baloh believe that the Havana Syndrome is psychogenic. In my book, I make an analogy to post traumatic stress syndrome: it’s a real disease, but not one with a simple physical cause. Below I quote the abstract from Bartholomew and Baloh’s paper.
Background: Since 2016, an array of claims and public discourse have circulated in the medical community over the origin and nature of a mysterious condition dubbed “Havana Syndrome,” so named as it was first identified in Cuba. In March 2023, the United States intelligence community concluded that the condition was a socially constructed catch-all category for an array of health conditions and stress reactions that were lumped under a single label.
Aims: To examine the history of “Havana Syndrome” and the many factors that led to its erroneous categorization as a novel clinical entity.
Method: A review of the literature.
Results/Conclusions: Several factors led to the erroneous classification of “Havana Syndrome” as a novel entity including the failure to stay within the limitations of the data; the withholding of information by intelligence agencies, the prevalence of popular misconceptions about psychogenic illness, the inability to identify historical parallels; the role of the media, and the mixing of politics with science.

In Intermediate Physics for Medicine and Biology, Russ Hobbie and I discuss the health effects of electromagnetic fields. It’s crucial to understand the physics that underlies tissue-field interactions before postulating a nefarious role for electromagnetic fields in human health. If you suggest an idea that is not consistent with physics, prepare to be proved wrong.

A final note: Baloh and Bartholomew write

In September 2021, the head of a U.S. Government panel investigating “Havana Syndrome,” Pamela Spratlen, was forced to resign after refusing to rule out [mass psychogenic illness] as a possible cause... A former senior C.I.A. operative wrote that Spratlen’s position was “insulting to victims and automatically disqualifying.”
I think we all owe Pamela Spratlen an apology. Thank you for your service.

 Was “Havana Syndrome” a case of mass hysteria? DW News.

https://www.youtube.com/embed/ljf1TVWTSlQ

 
Havana Syndrome: Tilting at Windmills?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4IWnhmqVsPc
 


 The Havana Syndrome: A Disorder of Neuropolitics?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=izeVdfkYnIo

Friday, November 24, 2023

The Deadly Rise of Anti-Science

The Deadly Rise of Anti-Science, by Peter Hotez, superimposed on Intermediate Physics for Medicine and Biology.
The Deadly Rise of Anti-Science,
by Peter Hotez.
This week I read The Deadly Rise of Anti-Science: A Scientist’s Warning, by Peter Hotez. Every American should read this book. In his introductory chapter, Hotez writes
This is a dark and tragic story of how a significant segment of the population of the United States suddenly, defiantly, and without precedent turned against biomedical science and scientists. I detail how anti-science became a dominant force in the United States, resulting in the deaths of thousands of Americans in 2021 and into 2022, and why this situation presents a national emergency. I explain why anti-science aggression will not end with the COVID-19 pandemic. I believe we must counteract it now, before something irreparable happens to set the country on a course of inexorable decline…

The consequences are shocking: as I will detail, more than 200,000 Americans needlessly lost their lives because they refused a COVID-19 vaccine and succumbed to the virus. Their lives could have been saved had they accepted the overwhelming scientific evidence for the effectiveness and safety of COVID-19 immunization or the warnings from the community of biomedical scientists and public health experts about the dangers of remaining unvaccinated. Ultimately, this such public defiance of science became a leading killer of middle-aged and older Americans, more than gun violence, terrorism, nuclear proliferation, cyberattacks or other major societal threats.
Where did this 200,000 number come from? On page 2 of Intermediate Physics for Medicine and Biology, Russ Hobbie and I claim that
One valuable skill in physics is the ability to make order-of-magnitude estimates, meaning to calculate something approximately right.

Hotez gives a classic example of estimation when deriving the 200,000 number. First, he notes that 245,000 Americans died of covid between May 1 and December 31, 2021. Covid arrived in the United States in early 2020, but vaccines did not become widely available until mid 2021. Actually, the vaccines were ready in early 2021 (I had my first dose on March 20), but May 1 was the date when the vaccine was available to everyone. During the second half of 2021, about 80% of Americans who died of covid were unvaccinated. So, Hotez multiplies 245,000 by 0.8 to get 196,000 unvaccinated deaths. After rounding this off to one significant figure, this is where he gets the number 200,000.

There are a few caveats. On the one hand, our estimate may be too high. The vaccine is not perfect. If all of the 200,000 unvaccinated people who died would have gotten the vaccine, some of them would still have perished from covid. If we take the vaccine as being 90% effective against death, we would multiple 196,000 times 0.9 to get 176,400. On the other hand, our estimate may be too low. Covid did not end on January 1, 2022. In fact, the omicron variant swept the country that winter and at its peak over 2000 people died of covid each day. So, the total covid deaths since the vaccine became available—the starting point of our calculation—is certainly higher than 245,000.

As Hotez points out, other researchers have also estimated the number of unnecessary covid deaths, using slightly different assumptions, and all the results are roughly consistent, around 200,000. (Hotez’s book appears to have been written in mid-to-late 2022; I suspect the long tail of covid deaths since then would not make much difference to this estimation, but I’m not sure.) 

In the spirit of an order-of-magnitude estimate, one should not place too great an emphasis on the precise number. It was certainly more than twenty thousand and it was without a doubt less than two million. I doubt we’ll ever know if the “true” amount is 187,000 or 224,000 or any other specific value. But we can say with confidence that about a couple hundred thousand Americans died unnecessarily because people were not vaccinated. Hotez concludes

That 200,000 unvaccinated Americans gave up their lives needlessly through shunning COVID-19 vaccines can and should haunt our nation for a long time to come.

Infectious disease scientists such as Peter Hotez, Tony Fauci, and others are true American heroes. That far-right politicians and journalists vilify these researchers is despicable and disgusting. We all owe these scientists so much. Last Monday was “Public Health Thank You Day” and yesterday was Thanksgiving. I can think of no one more deserving of our thanks than the scientists who led the effort to vaccinate America against covid. 

Why Science Isn’t Up for Debate, with Peter Hotez.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PbGfeksduGE

Friday, August 25, 2023

Oppose Federal Legislation That Would Protect Homeopathic Drugs From FDA Regulation

In Intermediate Physics for Medicine and Biology, Russ Hobbie and I don’t talk about homeopathy (thank goodness!). A homeopathic medicine is one that has been diluted with water multiple times (for example, 30 dilutions, each by a factor of ten), until not even a single molecule of the active ingredient remains. Proponents of homeopathy believe that the water “remembers” the original ingredient. This, of course, conflicts with everything scientists know about water. If you believe physics underlies medicine, you should reject homeopathy.

Why bring up homeopathy now? I recently received an email from one of my favorite organizations—the Center For Inquiry (CFI)—calling on people to oppose federal legislation that would limit the Food and Drug Administration’s ability to regulate homeopathic drugs. Rather than repeating everything the CFI said, I’ll simply quote from their website. I already wrote my Congressman about this issue.
CFI calls on our supporters to help defeat a pro-homeopathy amendment being proposed for the federal appropriations bill H.R. 4368. The homeopathy lobby is pushing hard for this amendment, and we need CFI supporters to voice their opposition to their members of Congress.

Homeopathy groups such as Americans For Homeopathy Choice (AFHC) are lobbying strenuously for Appropriations Amendment #4. This amendment would bar FDA enforcement of the Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act against new homeopathic drug products as long as a product complies with “standards for strength, quality, and purity set forth in the Homeopathic Pharmacopoeia of the United States.” In other words, it would replace much-needed federal regulation with the industry’s own standards.

CFI has consistently pointed out that homeopathy is bunk science that does not work beyond the placebo effect. Homeopathic products are typically diluted to the point that no active ingredients remain. It is quack medicine and consumer fraud.

The Homeopathic Pharmacopoeia’s standards of quality are not medically valid. Yet the amendment would exempt homeopathic products from FDA regulation and oversight if they comport with those standards. This amounts to an argument of “No need for federal regulation, we can regulate ourselves with our own standards even if they constitute medical fraud” – or, more succinctly, “Let the fox guard the henhouse, please.” (Indeed, CFI has tussled with the Homeopathic Pharmacopoeia before.)

At the moment, AFHC and the homeopathy lobby are seeking additional co-sponsors in the House of Representatives for their amendment. This is where CFI’s supporters come in.

We need our supporters to mobilize and contact their members in the House of Representatives immediately. Please let them know, in no uncertain terms, that homeopathy cannot and must not escape federal regulation. It is crucial to keep Appropriations Amendment #4 out of the federal appropriations bill.

 

 Homeopathy, quackery and fraud, a TED talk by James Randi.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c0Z7KeNCi7g