Friday, September 16, 2022

Drawdown

Drawdown, Edited by Paul Hawken, superimposed on Intermediate Physics for Medicine and Biology.
Drawdown,
Edited by Paul Hawken.
This blog is about physics applied to medicine and biology, but if we don’t solve the climate crisis there’s no use developing fancier ways to do medical imaging or radiation therapy; we’ll all be dead. So today I’m going to tell you about a book I just read, titled Drawdown: The Most Comprehensive Plan Ever Proposed to Reverse Global Warming. It’s the book I’ve been looking for. It analyzes all the different ways we can address global warming, and ranks them by impact and importance. Here’s how the editor Paul Hawken begins Drawdown.
The genesis of Project Drawdown was curiosity, not fear. In 2001 I began asking experts in climate and environmental fields a question: Do we know what we need to do in order to arrest and reverse global warming? I thought they could provide a shopping list. I wanted to know the most effective solutions that were already in place, and the impact they could have if scaled. I also wanted to know the price tag. My contacts replied that such an inventory did not exist, but all agreed it would be a great checklist to have, though creating one was not within their individual expertise. After several years, I stopped asking because it was not within my expertise either.

Then came 2013. Several articles were published that were so alarming that one began to hear whispers of the unthinkable: It was game over. But was that true, or might it possibly be game on? Where did we actually stand? It was then that I decided to create Project Drawdown. In atmospheric terms drawdown is that point in time at which greenhouse gases peak and begin to decline on a year-to-year basis. I decided that the goal of the project would be to identify, measure, and model one hundred substantive solutions to determine how much we could accomplish within three decades towards that end.
Many solutions are presented in Drawdown, but here I count down the top ten, ranked according to their total atmospheric carbon dioxide reduction, with a brief quote from Drawdown accompanying each.

10. Rooftop Solar

As households adopt rooftop solar… they transform generation [of electricity] and its ownership, shifting away from utility monopolies and making power production their own.

9. Silvopasture

Silvopasture is… the integration of trees and pasture or forage into a single system for raising livestock… Trees create cooler microclimates and more protective environments, and can moderate water availability. Therein lies the climatic win-win of silvopasture: As it averts further greenhouse emissions from one of the world’s most polluting sectors, it also protects against changes that are now inevitable.

8. Solar Farms

Any scenario for reversing global warming includes a massive ramp-up of solar power by mid-century. It simply makes sense: the sun shines every day, providing a virtually unlimited, clean, and free fuel at a price that never changes. Small, distributed clusters of rooftop panels are the most conspicuous evidence of the renewables revolution powered by solar photovoltaics (PV). The other, less obvious iteration of the PV phenomenon is large-scale arrays of hundreds, thousands, or in some cases millions of panels [solar farms] that achieve generating capacity in the tens or hundreds of megawatts.

7. Family Planning

Increased adoption of reproductive healthcare and family planning is an essential component to achieve the United Nations’ 2015 medium global population projection of 9.7 billion people by 2050. If investment in family planning, particularly in low-income countries, does not materialize, the world’s population could come closer to the high projection, adding another 1 billion people to the planet.

6. Educating Girls

Girls education, it turns out, has a dramatic bearing on global warming. Women with more years of education have fewer, healthier children and actively manage their reproductive health… Synchronizing investments in girls’ education with those in family planning would be complementary and mutually reinforcing. Education is grounded in the belief that every life bubbles with innate potential. When it comes to climate change, nurturing the promise of each girl can shape the future for all.

5. Tropical Forests

In recent decades, tropical forests... have suffered extensive clearing, fragmentation, degradation, and depletion of flora and fauna… One of the dominant storylines of the nineteenth and twentieth centuries was the vast loss of forestland. Its restoration and re-wilding could be the twenty-first-century story.

4. Plant-Rich Diet

Eat food. Not too much. Mostly plants.

3. Reduced Food Waste

Whether on the farm, near the fork, or somewhere in between, efforts to reduce food waste can address emissions and ease pressure on resources of all kinds, while enabling society more effectively to supply future food demand.

2. Wind Turbines

Ongoing cost reduction will soon make wind energy the least expensive source of installed electricity capacity, perhaps within a decade.

1. Refrigerant Management

As temperatures rise, so does reliance on air conditioners. The use of refrigerators, in kitchens of all sizes and throughout “cold chains” of food production and supply, is seeing similar expansion. As technologies for cooling proliferate, evolution in refrigerants and their management is imperative.

While reading Intermediate Physics for Medicine and Biology, let’s turn up the thermostat a bit during warm days. Between chapters, let’s ditch the hamburger and eat a salad instead (and if you can’t finish it, save the rest for leftovers). Let’s make sure girls in particular are encouraged to read IPMB (or whatever else that will help with their education). And let’s write our congressional representatives and encourage them to support solar and wind energy sources.

If you don’t have the time to read Drawdown, or don’t have easy access to it, then visit the website drawdown.org or watch the videos below, which summarize the plan to reverse global warming.

Climate Solutions 101. Unit 1, Setting the Stage

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qT_O2F5zgXc&list=PLwYnpej4pQF7UPnt0nkZEa8sxR9TmWR1B&index=1

Climate Solutions 101. Unit 2, Stopping Climate Change 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bkDherHOymo&list=PLwYnpej4pQF7UPnt0nkZEa8sxR9TmWR1B&index=2

Climate Solutions 101. Unit 3, Reducing Sources 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EiE2DbUOmgc&list=PLwYnpej4pQF7UPnt0nkZEa8sxR9TmWR1B&index=3 


Climate Solutions 101. Unit 4, Supporting Sinks and Improving Society

8 comments:

  1. I appreciate natural ways to try and reduce green house gases in the atmosphere. Climate science iis explained as perfecf fact however wr our only in human infancy of understandng it.
    Check out this nee publication where trhey use excelllent physics and math to prove how our climate is effected by thermal radiation basrd on greenhouse gases ehicv ypu more than amyone will respect this scisntific approach.

    Today, there are many different climate models that try and predict global warming based on limited data and are constantly chnagiimg based on acusition of improved data and a better understanding of many effects that weren’t previously included.
    https://www.nationalgeographic.com/environment/article/how-climate-models-got-so-accurate-they-earned-a-nobel-prize

    My word of caution is humanity should be very careful about some of the more drastic measures to ‘fix’ global warming ehich may cause future unpredicted climattd anamolies




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    Replies
    1. The 80 approaches in Drawdown are all conventional and fairly well established. Are any of those 80 what you would call "more drastic measures"?

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    2. https://futurism.com/the-byte/refreezing-earth-poles-chemicals-military-jets
      The first one is spreading large amount of chemicals over the poles.


      https://futurism.com/the-byte/scientist-warns-countries-geoengineering

      The next ones is geothermal. I think geothermal could work, but you could potentially fo unwanred harm deep inside Earth.

      I have recently read that the inner core is spinning much slower than thought and is losing heat rapidly transmitting heat which can be absorbes by the oceans.

      Humans have caused changes to the Earth, including microplastics which are literally everywhere causing haarm..

      We nees to make changes, but lets not cripple everthine else, and have a plan for clean production of clean technology that can handle our usage, which at the moment our power grid is not the greatest, and many states are having energy issues as it is.

      https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/18907/europe-energy-crisis?fbclid=IwAR0aaXgPlHK3OKCNyUyQjD7gxRceNc-u3ePq1rXiP0qZBZPz14wRVj11b3c#%2EYyRf4PQVvCo%2Elinkedin

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    3. https://phys.org/news/2022-09-vital-gap-climate.html

      Additionally, effects of clouds and atmospheric water play a big role in capture and transfer of heat. Also, seismic montioring of the tetonic has begun, and has shown effects from within on the oceans, which can chnage the vital flow partterns changing the distribution. Itt’s best to try and understand the complex relarionhips of the earth and temperature, while we minimize our impact and do what we can to be kore environment friendly.

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    4. Spreading chemicals at the poles is not discussed in Drawdown; it analyzes developed technologies. Geothermal is discussed, but we understand thermodynamics well and could easily determine how much energy we are extracting from the earth (from just the top layer of the crust), and make sure the amount makes a negligible change to the earth's temperature.

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    5. Drawdown has many great ideas and should be implemted. I got off track a little and and drawdiowns methods will reduce aliot of humans impact on the environment.

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    6. https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-022-01192-
      One last comment then I am done. We know humans are destroying the earth and we need to fix this. On the topic of climate models and presictions, the IPCC and the numerous amounts of models use some assumptions for their calculations. These values jnclude the transient clmate response and the equilibrium climate sensitivity. Also, other contributing factors are being recognized and incorporated into the models. These lead to large ranges in predicted tempetarusz with the fact that human C02 will change over the years. The models continue to improve and will get better over the years. We need to immediately reduce our destruction of earth, but this includes numerous factors and I like how Drawdown provides many solutions.

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  2. https://arxiv.org/pdf/2006.03098.pdf

    ReplyDelete